Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 3.152828 3.330815 3.519449 3.735285 3.976721 4.240039 4.551108
2025-03-23 2.854997 3.092597 3.356686 3.675391 4.054403 4.497241 5.064116
2025-03-30 2.609334 2.881246 3.194941 3.590339 4.085866 4.702109 5.554804
2025-04-06 2.395349 2.685315 3.029987 3.480401 4.071056 4.848450 6.008436
2025-04-13 2.199842 2.494908 2.853870 3.336667 3.993935 4.902344 6.354797
2025-04-20 2.100111 2.413542 2.805204 3.350309 4.127316 5.270873 7.281547
2025-04-27 2.018070 2.347603 2.769774 3.376874 4.282650 5.706242 8.494340
2025-05-04 1.966007 2.315768 2.775628 3.460496 4.535549 6.361266 10.476423
2025-05-11 1.898386 2.258243 2.741278 3.481613 4.695091 6.905143 12.647216
2025-05-18 1.825917 2.189237 2.685158 3.463500 4.787245 7.354654 15.053410
2025-05-25 1.731514 2.084876 2.571597 3.345533 4.689399 7.393561 16.285980
2025-06-01 1.658206 2.005971 2.489822 3.270531 4.658658 7.575643 18.371979
2025-06-08 1.571402 1.909308 2.383913 3.160445 4.573249 7.674159 20.761964
2025-06-15 1.520646 1.861116 2.346940 3.160833 4.701995 8.364279 28.884089
2025-06-22 1.466102 1.804823 2.294350 3.130500 4.768174 8.947014 41.390638
2025-06-29 1.408899 1.741998 2.228056 3.070706 4.765427 9.351873 60.291277
2025-07-06 1.347902 1.671035 2.145347 2.975240 4.672425 9.446076 81.810552
2025-07-13 1.318752 1.645341 2.131568 3.001555 4.856164 10.628413 567.771537
2025-07-20 1.293186 1.623588 2.122454 3.035449 5.067998 12.166674 NaN
2025-07-27 1.278067 1.616564 2.136309 3.114081 5.413827 14.869326 NaN
2025-08-03 1.253628 1.594134 2.123356 3.139413 5.632115 17.439096 NaN
2025-08-10 1.224685 1.563469 2.094788 3.130605 5.756230 19.808281 NaN
2025-08-17 1.182813 1.511278 2.027407 3.036928 5.614230 19.804566 NaN